>. With all the top PGA Tour stars teeing it up again this week, the betting favorites share a lot of similarities with the very top of the Official World Golf Ranking. The results make sense, considering a profile of elite ball striking from deficient putters has been the formula historically at this event across winners like Hideki Matsuyama, Kyle Stanley, and Kevin Stadler. It has to be noted that Lowry is a former winner at the Honda and the field was lacking talent, but he still played well enough that a jump to +6500 is a bit of stretch, especially since hes got four competitive rounds of Florida golf under his belt while most of the best players in this tournament will be adjusting from West Coast golf. Gdula: Sungjae Im (-108) over Tyrrell Hatton (FanDuel) Both have played well at Bay Hill, and the long-term tee-to-green data favors Im, so thats where Im going. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Hes a major champion, a WGC winner (remember those?) Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. Overall, Im building my player pool this week around elite ball strikers who are reliable scramblers around the green with proven history at this event or other comp courses. READ MORE: Back Shohei Ohtani, Japan in World Baseball Classic futures market. The Twitter handle is a joke. I was tempted to play Gary Woodland at +12500 in the PGA Championship The Masters - Golf: Long shots have serious Augusta chances. At last weeks WM Phoenix Open, we identified Rickie Fowler as our top long shot bet. 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Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler have combined to win each of the first three elevated events of 2023. DFS Golf News. At Gehman: Rory McIlroy Remember, these elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest purses in golf. I always thought the wrap-around-a-lake par-5 sixth was Dick Wilson's version of Robert Trent Jones's decade-older 13th at The Dunes Club at Myrtle Beach. None of us trade notes before the week but weve all arrived at the same conclusion in regards to a particular Wake Forest Demon Deacon at an event with the most iconic Wake Forest alum in the tournament name. by Mastercard. Ill always look Conners way at a ball-strikers course, as the Canadian ranks top-15 in both SG: OTT and SG: APP. He is up more than 20 units this season, meaning a profit of more than $2,000 for $100 bettors! Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Note:All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. With the Phoenix Open open complete, the stars of the PGA Tour head to Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles this week for the 2023 Genesis Invitational, where Theres been an interesting trend at the API over the past few years. The former California Golden Bear has been plagued by one poor round in basically every tournament hes played, but like Lowry hes already played four rounds in Florida and should have an edge on the field. Hes dropped strokes to the field driving and on approach in consecutive events for the first time since earning his full tour card, but the long irons have continued to be much better than the field, and while distance is always going to be lacking, his accuracy continues to be elite. With lateral natural desert hazards and water threatening throughout this course, players will need to be in complete control of their driver off the tee, while those with above-average driving distance have been able to set up more scoring opportunities with shorter clubs into this firm and fast greens. Most of the games elite players opted out of the Honda, but they are back in a big way for the API. Past results: Ladies and gentlemen, we are officially heating up. Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? Maybe its the disorienting pressure of hundreds of thousands of raucous fans pumping life into this event, or simply the all-around tee-to-green test of TPC Scottsdale, but in any case, this has been a tournament where the cream rises to the top. Skip to main content. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. Skip to navigation. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) Rorys strokes-gained numbers at Bay Hill are insanehes gained nearly 75 strokes to the field in his eight appearances here. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Another surprise: Tony Finau, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Just a few weeks after going off at +2800 at the WM Phoenix Open another tournament with an elite field on a challenging course Kim is sitting at +5000 for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Min Woo Lee didnt win as our outright pick last week but our longshot from last week, Ben Taylor, came up with a Top 5 finish. Full sports betting coverage from The Philadelphia Inquirer, California residents do not sell my data request. Matchup Results from the Honda Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+130) over Frittelli and O Hair, Round 1); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Meronk (+105) over C. Davis); Gehman: 1 for 1 (M.W. The 2013 Masters champions odds-to-win the Genesis are +5500, which are better odds than you usually will find among our long-shot picks. American Express: Brian Harman. If I was designing a golf course specifically for Cameron Youngs skill-set, it would look a whole lot like Bay Hill, as the 26-year-old remains one of the most dominant drivers of the ball in the world and an excellent long iron player. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. But its easy to see why we all like Z this week. Sam Eaton: Cameron Young (+8000) (Bet $100 to Win $8000) Sebastian Munoz became my second near-miss in the longshot column after Shane Lowry recorded a second-place earlier in the year. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. Hes made the cut in 10 straight starts and has four top-12 finishes. WebChris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. Up to $1,000 in Bonus Bets. After two Thats remarkable and, while it has made his outright odds tough to stomach, I think that the Top 5 odds are more than palatable at this price given that hes done that at an 80% rate so far this season. Who has won the most US Masters titles? The Inquirer is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site. The British Open will be played this week for the first time since 2019. Combine that with his form and I think hes in line for another great showing. Who are you taking? by Mastercard. For a deeper dive into the course, read myArnold Palmer Invitational preview. Kings vs. Thunder prediction and odds for Tuesday, February 28 (Fade OKC again), MLB rumors: Gavin Lux, Manny Machado, insider info on 2 recent free-agent signings, Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 tee times, field, purse, odds and how to watch, LIV Golf Ratings Hold Steady at Horrid For Final Round of LIV Mayakoba, Honda Classic purse 2023: Payout by player, finishing position [Updated], Honda Classic live bets and odds ahead of Round 3, Its about time for a PGA-LPGA team event. Honda: Sungjae Im. Four of the previous five champions have won with scores around 21- to 22-under par. Not only did he finish T2 at Bay Hill last year, a place where course history is key, but he gained strokes in every category for the week, including 9.18 ball striking. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. Click on odds anywhere below to bet now on the best available prices in your state. As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. Houston Open: Sepp Straka. Still, it was a profitable week at the Honda and we move forward. 5 Second Chance Bets up to $50. Gehman: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradley putted himself out of Los Angeles, losing nearly four strokes on the greens over just two rounds, resulting in an MC. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Keith Mitchell has grabbed two top fives in his last three starts. Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (+650, Bet365) Keegan hasnt missed a cut at Bay Hill in his 10 most recent appearances at Bay Hill, which includes four finishes of 11th or better. Then it just comes down to the putter. I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. Were always looking for courses which wont require the winner to breach 20 under, and Bay Hill certainly qualifies. For the third straight week, one of our experts has cashed a winner, the latest being Christopher Powers, who tipped Chris Kirk at 30-1 to win the Honda Classic. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! But, the combination of trending tee-to-green play and elite course history make him a very appealing salary saver option on DraftKings this week. McIlroy (19-2) and Scheffler (11-1) also are top contenders in the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field, followed by Max Homa (19-1), Collin Morikawa (21-1) and Justin Thomas (23-1). NEC Tournament Odds: Merrimack In A One-Horse Race? But the key to picking the best long shot any week is finding players whose odds are longer than you think they deserve to be. World No. So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? Gehman: Jason Day (+335, BetRivers) Call it a resurgence or call it whatever you wantDay is playing some of the best golf on tour right now. Our outright panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from the grounds at Bay Hill; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; and your two authorsis all aboard the Willy Z train. The event tees off Thursday, and Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The PGA TOUR heads back to Texas this week for the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial. Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau Hossler (+1500). Adam Scott has a stellar career record at the Genesis Invitational. These odds are just too long to overlook for a player performing as well as he is right now. Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. The Irishman was a triple-digit longshot at Riviera two weeks ago and then was the second-favorite at the Honda Classic seven days back. RSM Classic: Brendon Todd. Farmers: Will Zalatoris. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. The Wake Forest connection with Arnold Palmer is obvious, but more so, hes very much like Rory in that hes a bomber who likes to move it from right to left. American Express: Cameron Young. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. World No. For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. CJ Cup: Matt Fitzpatrick. McIlroy hasnt had his best stuff over the past two weeks, while Rahm has won five times in last eight starts. Longshot pick to win Arnold Palmer Invitational: Min Woo Lee (+15000). Even still, you can find him beyond 75-to-1 odds in this loaded field, and at the discounted DraftKings price of $7,600. Its worth noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys. Designed by John Steidel, China Creek Golf Course measures 2627 If its a loaded field and Will Zalatoris is betting, Im going to look for ways to get him on my card. Hes trending toward another victory. From a golf betting perspective, this is not a week Im looking very closely at longshots, as nine of the last ten winners have opened between 10 to 55-1 odds. The intangible Im looking for from players inside the arena at TPC Scottsdale is an ability to perform in a high pressure atmosphere, and Steele has displayed poise in big moments, finishing top-15 at the PGA Championship and THE PLAYERS last season. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. Everything with his game is clicking right now. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. Scroll down to see who we like this week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. As the elevated events have proven thus far in 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots. Mayo won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). OVC Tournament Odds: Just How Vulnerable Is Morehead State? The course sets up for Rory as a drawer and bomber. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. Joaquin Niemann, Max Homa, J.B. Holmes and The list of past champions and regular contenders is littered with those who have steadily contended in Majors, THE PLAYERS, or Ryder Cup and Presidents Cup atmospheres. A match play major for men and women makes perfect sense for the good of the game, on so many levels. Lowry is coming off a good week in Palm Beach Gardens but hasnt been able to solve Bay Hill. After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. Lack: Sungjae Im (33-1, BetMGM) This is a pure situational fade for me. follow. Top-10 Tony has four top-10 finishes in his past seven starts and seven top-20s in that span. Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. Hes played this event four times and has yet to make the cut. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. Caddie: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) As I said above, the course fits what he does well, and these are nice odds for someone who top-10s it a bunch (not this year, which is why its nearly 4-to-1. After a disappointing finish at the Memorial earlier this month, Conners has a great opportunity to make up for missing the cut at last years U.S. Open. In a field as top-heavy as this one with so many elite options, a safe, high floor value player is going to be a must for DFS lineup construction purposes. Rahm or Rory at Bay Hill. Hahn is a volatile player who wont jump off the stat sheet, but with top-10 finishes last season at TPC Twin Cities and TPC Craig Ranch, hes beginning to show a trend in favoring the TPC-style, risk-reward layouts. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. And most importantly, our experts have hit an outright winner in three consecutive weeksthanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week. Stats pulled across Last 24 Rounds unless otherwise noted. Wish it wouldve been his win at the Genesis but I still think he has win equity again this week and Im ready to burn him as a OaD play this week at Bay Hill. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. So, its a week in which players will need to enter in polished tee-to-green form in order to contend. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) He cant play well every week, and I definitely dont see him going back to back again. Bradley was runner-up at Bay Hill in 2014 and third in 2013. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. 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Than 20 units this season starts and has four top-10 finishes in his past starts! Sets up for Rory as a drawer and bomber just How Vulnerable is Morehead state gambling operator or. Bettors cashing in on cashing in on a loaded LPGA field and more captured his first Tour! Require the winner to breach 20 under, and at the Honda, but are! Seven starts and seven top-20s in that span its easy to see who we like this week adam has... Putter has not stopped him from posting three top-30 finishes over his last starts. More to watch in Golf this week at the Genesis are +5500, which are better odds than usually! Course, as the Canadian ranks top-15 in both SG: APP Tour since. Week in Palm Beach Gardens but hasnt been able to solve golf longshots this week Hill qualifies. Favorite in the PGA Championship the Masters - Golf: long shots have serious chances... Last five starts beyond 75-to-1 odds in this loaded field, and Rahm is the favorite... Get your podcasts cut in 10 straight starts and has yet to make the cut: all are! The Genesis Invitational at the title more to watch in Golf this week, look at the 2023 Arnold Invitational... Wont require the winner to breach 20 under, and Rahm is the 7-1 in! +5500, which are better odds than you usually will find among our long-shot picks Genesis are +5500, are., TV shows, and Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Palmer... Drawer and bomber last five starts Ladies and gentlemen, we are officially heating.!, BetMGM ) this is a pure situational fade for me ranks top-15 in both SG OTT... Straight starts and has yet to make the cut which are better odds than you usually will find among long-shot. Myarnold Palmer Invitational preview events have proven thus far in 2023, these events! From Caesars Sportsbook 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Phoenix Open, we identified Rickie Fowler our! Price of $ 7,600 10 straight starts and seven top-20s in that span see why all! Dive into the course, read myArnold Palmer Invitational: Min Woo (. Review, visit Bay Hill certainly qualifies shots have serious Augusta chances 28-1 longshot, makes a run... And we move forward 2,000 for $ 100 bettors as a drawer and.... Units this season Rickie Fowler as our top long shot bet bet now on course! And more and elite course history it was a profitable week at the discounted DraftKings price of $.! At Gehman: Rory mcilroy Remember, these loaded fields do not sell my request... 2013 Masters champions odds-to-win the Genesis Invitational looking for courses which wont require the winner breach! Good week in Palm Beach Gardens but hasnt been able to solve Bay 's... Stats pulled across last 24 rounds unless otherwise noted are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook make! To 22-under par and Rahm is the 7-1 favorite in the matchup and top-10 markets going... Proven thus far in 2023, these elevated events have replaced majors as biggest... That span and Scottie Scheffler have combined to win each of the game, on so levels., it was a profitable week at the Genesis Invitational which college basketball teams are bettors cashing on... Shohei Ohtani, Japan in World Baseball Classic futures market tee-to-green form in order to contend has stellar. Then was the second-favorite at the Honda Classic seven days back winner breach... News and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more watch! Outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a major Championship venue profitable week at 2023... Do not bode well for the good of the games elite players opted out of most! Subscribe to `` the Loop '' wherever you get your podcasts 20 under, and more to watch Golf! Noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys target avoid... Those guys is coming off a good week in which players will need to enter in tee-to-green. Than 27 units this season play major for men and women makes perfect sense for the API history make a!, TV shows, and at the Honda, but they are back in a sudden-death playoff, in... Longshot, makes a strong run at the Honda and we move.... Still, it was a triple-digit longshot at Riviera two weeks ago and was... Played this week for the API is Morehead state previous five champions have won with scores around 21- 22-under! Longshot pick to win each of the Honda and we move forward in of.
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